← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+5.74vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.38+3.63vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.83+1.50vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.71+0.85vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.11vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.36vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+1.10vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.90-0.79vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.87vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii1.59+0.95vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.67-3.03vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.76-4.33vs Predicted
-
13University of Minnesota2.01-3.28vs Predicted
-
14University of Oregon0.46-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.63Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
4.5Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
4.85College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
-
4.64University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
7.21University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
5.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.95University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.97George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
7.67Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
12.78University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Simone Staff | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 26.5% | 17.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 7.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.