Race 7A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Donahue 12.2% 14.0% 15.9% 16.1% 12.0% 13.1% 9.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Michael Rush 45.2% 27.3% 14.6% 8.3% 2.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.9% 18.3% 17.6% 16.2% 14.9% 10.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.9% 13.0% 16.7% 15.8% 15.8% 12.4% 10.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.3%
Jon Beery 8.5% 8.5% 12.1% 13.8% 15.8% 15.0% 13.7% 7.4% 4.2% 1.0%
John Fonte 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 7.4% 14.1% 26.7% 35.4%
Christopher Hulse 2.2% 3.2% 4.8% 6.9% 8.5% 11.1% 17.0% 20.5% 16.9% 8.9%
Ryan Byrne 5.6% 9.6% 9.1% 11.9% 15.4% 15.5% 14.2% 11.8% 5.9% 1.0%
Tom Charpentier 2.8% 2.9% 5.1% 5.8% 7.9% 12.4% 14.3% 20.9% 20.0% 7.9%
Natalie Fohl 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 3.9% 3.7% 7.2% 12.6% 21.8% 45.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.