Race 1B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sarah Williams 10.6% 11.7% 11.5% 10.2% 10.5% 10.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Dana Rohde 14.7% 14.3% 13.0% 10.7% 9.6% 9.9% 9.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.5% 2.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Elizabeth Pemberton 6.6% 7.1% 7.9% 7.1% 6.8% 8.4% 8.9% 8.4% 8.2% 9.2% 8.0% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6%
Katia DaSilva 12.8% 13.7% 12.9% 11.3% 10.1% 9.6% 7.8% 8.1% 5.7% 3.4% 2.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Alison Knoles 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 4.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.4% 8.3% 7.6% 10.0% 9.0% 10.8% 10.6% 7.6%
Sarah Hermus 13.1% 10.0% 12.3% 13.0% 8.4% 8.1% 10.0% 6.6% 6.5% 5.8% 3.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 5.3% 8.1% 7.1% 7.0% 6.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 10.0% 8.1% 8.2% 6.5% 5.6% 2.5%
Johanna Kincaid 9.3% 10.3% 7.5% 9.7% 9.6% 7.2% 9.4% 9.0% 8.0% 6.9% 5.1% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
Caitlin Schadt 3.3% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 4.3% 3.2% 4.5% 5.6% 5.9% 8.5% 11.7% 11.7% 17.8% 16.7%
Alison Kent 3.8% 3.5% 2.9% 3.8% 5.4% 6.7% 6.4% 7.6% 7.5% 10.5% 9.9% 10.8% 12.1% 9.1%
Carolyn Smith 9.8% 7.7% 8.5% 10.8% 10.0% 8.4% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 6.2% 5.4% 3.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Rachel Day 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 8.5% 11.2% 15.9% 39.3%
Christine Moloney 3.1% 3.2% 3.5% 3.2% 4.3% 5.0% 4.4% 6.2% 8.4% 9.1% 12.1% 10.8% 13.7% 13.0%
Olivia Godfrey 3.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.0% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.4% 7.6% 10.0% 10.6% 14.0% 11.3% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.