Race 2B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dana Rohde 14.0% 15.1% 11.8% 12.0% 10.0% 8.6% 8.2% 6.1% 5.0% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.4%
Sarah Williams 12.2% 10.8% 10.6% 10.1% 10.1% 10.9% 8.6% 8.2% 6.9% 4.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.7%
Katia DaSilva 13.8% 14.6% 12.6% 10.6% 8.4% 10.2% 8.6% 6.8% 5.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Miranda Bakos 4.4% 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 7.9% 8.2% 10.6% 8.1% 8.9% 7.8% 6.3% 2.8%
Elizabeth Pemberton 6.0% 5.9% 6.7% 8.8% 8.5% 7.9% 8.0% 9.9% 7.7% 8.4% 8.7% 6.8% 4.8% 1.9%
Johanna Kincaid 9.2% 7.1% 8.4% 9.1% 11.0% 8.2% 8.4% 8.8% 8.2% 7.8% 6.0% 4.4% 2.8% 0.6%
Alison Knoles 4.7% 4.4% 5.8% 6.3% 4.9% 7.2% 6.3% 7.9% 9.7% 8.5% 8.5% 10.4% 9.5% 5.9%
Carolyn Smith 9.6% 10.8% 8.7% 9.5% 9.0% 9.1% 9.7% 7.2% 6.3% 6.5% 6.2% 3.8% 2.9% 0.7%
Alison Kent 4.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.1% 5.4% 5.3% 5.6% 6.7% 9.1% 10.6% 10.6% 11.4% 11.2% 9.2%
Sarah Hermus 12.0% 11.0% 12.8% 10.6% 10.5% 9.5% 10.0% 7.9% 5.8% 4.1% 2.3% 1.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Rachel Day 0.9% 2.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 5.0% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 16.9% 41.5%
Caitlin Schadt 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 2.7% 3.9% 3.3% 4.5% 6.0% 5.5% 9.0% 12.3% 12.0% 15.3% 17.7%
Olivia Godfrey 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 3.8% 4.6% 6.8% 6.9% 9.0% 10.1% 8.4% 14.2% 12.8% 7.7%
Christine Moloney 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 5.8% 5.8% 4.5% 5.9% 6.0% 8.9% 11.8% 13.7% 14.1% 10.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.