Race 3B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katia DaSilva 14.8% 13.3% 13.4% 11.0% 10.1% 9.0% 7.9% 6.7% 4.4% 3.2% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Elizabeth Pemberton 7.1% 8.3% 7.5% 8.2% 7.1% 7.7% 9.0% 8.4% 9.7% 8.9% 6.7% 6.3% 4.0% 1.1%
Dana Rohde 14.2% 14.1% 11.3% 11.2% 11.1% 7.8% 8.0% 7.1% 6.7% 4.1% 2.2% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alison Knoles 3.0% 3.7% 5.7% 5.1% 6.8% 6.5% 6.2% 6.8% 8.3% 8.9% 10.8% 11.7% 10.3% 6.2%
Sarah Hermus 10.5% 12.3% 13.0% 11.7% 9.7% 9.4% 8.4% 7.0% 7.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Sarah Williams 10.8% 9.4% 10.5% 12.1% 9.8% 7.6% 9.0% 8.5% 7.3% 6.0% 4.1% 2.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 6.8% 6.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 8.9% 9.1% 8.8% 8.3% 7.2% 5.5% 2.1%
Carolyn Smith 9.7% 10.6% 9.0% 8.3% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 8.3% 7.4% 6.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5%
Alison Kent 4.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 5.5% 7.7% 8.8% 8.7% 12.9% 9.9% 12.1% 9.0%
Rachel Day 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 2.5% 2.2% 3.7% 3.9% 5.7% 8.0% 9.5% 17.0% 40.4%
Christine Moloney 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.3% 5.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.3% 8.7% 10.0% 13.3% 14.5% 13.2%
Olivia Godfrey 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 3.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 7.3% 12.0% 10.4% 10.5% 12.0% 10.3%
Johanna Kincaid 9.0% 9.9% 7.3% 9.7% 9.8% 10.1% 9.4% 8.3% 7.7% 6.7% 5.4% 3.9% 1.6% 1.2%
Caitlin Schadt 2.6% 2.0% 2.8% 3.2% 4.4% 4.9% 4.9% 5.6% 5.8% 7.5% 9.3% 15.4% 16.3% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.