Race 4B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dana Rohde 13.5% 14.9% 14.2% 10.0% 9.3% 9.6% 7.7% 5.9% 4.2% 4.9% 2.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Katia DaSilva 16.0% 13.3% 12.3% 11.3% 10.9% 10.5% 7.3% 6.3% 5.1% 2.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Sarah Williams 11.1% 11.5% 10.1% 10.2% 7.9% 10.3% 8.3% 9.9% 6.4% 6.5% 3.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Johanna Kincaid 7.8% 10.0% 9.1% 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 10.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.7% 5.7% 3.9% 2.8% 0.5%
Sarah Hermus 10.5% 13.1% 11.1% 12.0% 10.7% 8.8% 7.7% 8.6% 5.7% 5.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5%
Rachel Day 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 1.8% 2.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.1% 8.3% 10.7% 17.4% 39.5%
Alison Knoles 4.7% 4.9% 5.4% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 8.5% 9.3% 9.8% 9.1% 10.2% 8.9% 6.5%
Miranda Bakos 6.4% 5.6% 7.5% 6.6% 7.3% 6.4% 9.5% 7.1% 8.7% 8.5% 8.9% 7.1% 6.5% 3.9%
Carolyn Smith 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 9.5% 10.7% 9.3% 9.6% 8.5% 7.0% 8.7% 4.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7%
Elizabeth Pemberton 6.5% 5.5% 7.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.4% 8.0% 7.4% 4.2% 1.4%
Alison Kent 3.5% 3.8% 2.8% 5.3% 4.8% 5.9% 5.7% 7.3% 8.4% 8.2% 13.3% 10.2% 11.8% 9.0%
Christine Moloney 2.9% 2.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 9.0% 9.2% 11.9% 11.8% 12.9% 13.3%
Olivia Godfrey 3.9% 3.3% 4.2% 3.8% 5.0% 4.3% 6.5% 8.6% 9.1% 7.2% 9.5% 13.8% 12.3% 8.5%
Caitlin Schadt 2.8% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 4.9% 6.2% 7.3% 9.8% 13.9% 17.3% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.