Race 5B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katia DaSilva 14.4% 15.3% 13.0% 13.3% 8.9% 8.0% 7.1% 6.2% 5.0% 4.1% 2.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.4%
Sarah Hermus 15.4% 12.4% 12.4% 10.6% 11.9% 9.3% 8.5% 6.5% 4.5% 3.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Sarah Williams 11.5% 12.3% 10.7% 10.3% 9.5% 9.8% 9.1% 7.4% 6.7% 5.1% 4.5% 1.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Johanna Kincaid 7.6% 9.9% 11.4% 8.9% 8.4% 10.2% 9.0% 6.4% 7.9% 8.1% 4.9% 4.1% 2.6% 0.6%
Dana Rohde 12.6% 12.6% 14.2% 12.4% 10.9% 8.8% 7.1% 6.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
Olivia Godfrey 3.9% 3.5% 3.0% 4.6% 3.7% 6.1% 6.4% 6.2% 9.1% 9.2% 10.4% 11.4% 12.2% 10.3%
Rachel Day 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.3% 5.8% 5.0% 6.9% 10.7% 15.8% 35.8%
Caitlin Schadt 3.2% 3.0% 2.6% 4.2% 4.6% 3.8% 4.1% 5.2% 6.1% 7.6% 9.5% 12.3% 16.5% 17.3%
Marissa Golison 6.2% 4.5% 5.7% 5.0% 7.1% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 9.4% 9.2% 8.7% 6.8% 2.7%
Christine Moloney 3.0% 2.9% 2.7% 3.3% 4.6% 4.7% 6.2% 5.5% 8.2% 7.2% 11.9% 13.6% 14.4% 11.8%
Alison Kent 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 6.1% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 10.9% 10.8% 10.4% 9.3%
Miranda Bakos 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.4% 10.0% 8.4% 8.0% 9.4% 7.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.1%
Alison Knoles 4.6% 4.7% 4.7% 5.7% 6.2% 5.1% 7.4% 8.9% 8.1% 9.0% 10.5% 10.1% 9.0% 6.0%
Elizabeth Pemberton 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.4% 8.2% 7.9% 12.1% 6.6% 8.5% 6.8% 5.9% 3.3% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.