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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.70vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+2.54vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+0.57vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.24+1.22vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.99vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.87vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon1.18-0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.74-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.13-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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4.54Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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6.93College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.57Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 14.4% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 16.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.5% |
| Rachel Day | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 38.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.2% |
| Alison Kent | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.