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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.51+6.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+2.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+4.03vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87+0.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.24+0.53vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.62vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.82vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.74-1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.13-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon1.18-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Sinagra | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Katia DaSilva | 16.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 14.3% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| Alison Kent | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Rachel Day | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.