Race 8B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Carolyn Smith 10.0% 9.3% 11.1% 9.3% 8.5% 10.4% 8.6% 7.2% 7.4% 5.4% 5.6% 4.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Sarah Williams 12.7% 10.7% 11.3% 10.6% 10.0% 8.4% 10.1% 8.9% 5.9% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Maria Sinagra 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 6.1% 6.7% 5.4% 7.6% 9.2% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 8.6% 6.3% 3.2%
Elizabeth Pemberton 5.6% 7.3% 7.6% 7.6% 8.1% 8.9% 8.3% 8.4% 10.3% 7.6% 7.7% 7.4% 3.1% 2.1%
Kelly McGlynn 6.2% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 10.0% 6.1% 8.6% 7.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.2%
Christine Moloney 3.0% 3.2% 2.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.3% 9.0% 9.5% 9.5% 12.5% 13.2% 14.6%
Katia DaSilva 16.0% 13.7% 12.0% 12.4% 10.0% 9.7% 8.0% 5.7% 6.4% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Olivia Godfrey 4.4% 3.4% 4.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 5.9% 7.1% 9.9% 10.9% 10.9% 11.3% 10.6%
Dana Rohde 13.1% 12.8% 12.4% 11.4% 10.7% 10.6% 8.1% 7.3% 5.6% 3.2% 2.9% 0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Alison Knoles 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 8.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 10.0% 9.9% 10.7% 11.3% 5.4%
Caitlin Schadt 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 4.4% 4.9% 5.6% 7.8% 8.7% 9.8% 11.7% 16.6% 17.4%
Sarah Hermus 11.6% 13.4% 12.0% 11.8% 9.9% 9.2% 9.6% 6.3% 5.7% 4.7% 2.2% 1.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Rachel Day 2.1% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 7.5% 11.2% 16.7% 37.7%
Alison Kent 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.8% 7.6% 7.6% 10.0% 11.3% 11.7% 11.8% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.