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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+7.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+8.75vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-1.32vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.24+10.70vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+6.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.88+6.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.84+4.61vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.62+2.80vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.60+7.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.45-0.42vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.91+1.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.25+2.90vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.38+2.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.99-1.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.85+2.38vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.98+2.80vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.47-1.30vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.09-4.98vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-7.36vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.15-0.93vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-2.95vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.46-1.34vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-5.59vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-1.36-8.39vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego0.42-19.65vs Predicted
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28University of Southern California-0.12-18.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of California at Santa Cruz1.4520.2%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.1%1st Place
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11.75University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.2%1st Place
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8.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.9%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.5022.4%1st Place
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16.7San Diego State University-1.241.2%1st Place
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13.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.912.1%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Irvine-0.882.2%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Berkeley-0.842.2%1st Place
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12.8Arizona State University-0.622.4%1st Place
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18.86Arizona State University-1.600.7%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.453.3%1st Place
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14.64San Diego State University-0.911.8%1st Place
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16.9University of California at San Diego-1.251.5%1st Place
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17.0Santa Clara University-1.381.4%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Berkeley-0.992.9%1st Place
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19.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.6%1st Place
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20.8California State University Channel Islands-1.980.7%1st Place
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17.7University of California at San Diego-1.470.6%1st Place
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15.02Arizona State University-1.091.7%1st Place
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13.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.4%1st Place
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21.07University of California at Davis-2.150.5%1st Place
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20.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.7%1st Place
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22.66University of California at Davis-2.460.8%1st Place
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19.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.5%1st Place
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17.61University of California at Irvine-1.360.9%1st Place
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7.35University of California at San Diego0.427.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Southern California-0.124.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 20.2% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 22.4% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Claire Wiley | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Luke Graham | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% |
| Nate Powers | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 16.2% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 25.3% |
| Pike Williams | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.