Race 12B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dana Rohde 16.3% 16.1% 14.1% 12.0% 10.4% 6.5% 7.1% 6.0% 3.6% 3.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Sarah Williams 13.2% 13.6% 12.9% 9.7% 10.3% 10.3% 8.7% 6.0% 6.5% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3%
Elizabeth Pemberton 7.9% 8.4% 8.7% 8.2% 8.5% 7.4% 9.2% 7.5% 8.7% 6.6% 8.8% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 6.9% 8.4% 7.5% 9.1% 9.8% 8.7% 8.5% 7.6% 6.6% 9.0% 7.5% 5.5% 3.2% 1.7%
Mackenzie Needham 3.5% 5.2% 5.4% 5.2% 6.5% 6.4% 8.0% 7.6% 8.1% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 6.6%
Lindsey Baab 12.1% 10.2% 12.0% 12.2% 9.6% 9.9% 7.3% 7.9% 5.5% 5.8% 3.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Maria Sinagra 7.0% 8.4% 6.6% 7.7% 7.2% 8.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.1% 9.0% 8.2% 6.3% 5.2% 2.3%
Alison Kent 4.6% 4.2% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 6.3% 6.6% 5.8% 8.4% 9.6% 9.6% 10.6% 8.8% 8.6%
Alison Knoles 5.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.6% 5.5% 6.2% 9.0% 9.7% 8.1% 8.6% 9.0% 11.4% 8.0% 5.0%
Caitlin Schadt 3.1% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.1% 5.6% 6.4% 5.2% 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 11.8% 15.7% 17.1%
Carolyn Smith 11.1% 9.0% 10.9% 10.9% 9.8% 9.5% 7.1% 8.0% 7.1% 5.3% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7%
Olivia Godfrey 3.9% 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 6.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.6% 9.6% 9.5% 8.9% 8.4% 11.2% 10.3%
Christine Moloney 3.4% 4.6% 3.6% 4.4% 4.3% 5.7% 4.9% 8.4% 7.1% 8.8% 9.2% 12.9% 12.7% 10.0%
Rachel Day 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 2.4% 3.2% 4.5% 6.1% 5.0% 6.4% 8.9% 17.5% 36.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.