Race 13B

perry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sarah Williams 12.8% 13.2% 13.7% 9.8% 9.7% 10.0% 8.7% 5.7% 4.8% 4.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7%
Lindsey Baab 14.5% 11.7% 11.2% 12.1% 10.6% 9.2% 8.6% 6.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 7.3% 9.5% 7.8% 8.6% 7.3% 10.1% 7.4% 9.3% 7.1% 8.1% 7.0% 6.2% 3.0% 1.3%
Elizabeth Pemberton 6.5% 7.8% 10.0% 8.3% 9.0% 8.6% 9.4% 7.2% 5.9% 9.0% 6.5% 6.4% 3.5% 1.9%
Dana Rohde 13.3% 16.5% 14.2% 13.6% 8.1% 9.5% 7.2% 5.4% 5.6% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Maria Sinagra 6.7% 5.5% 5.3% 8.0% 7.7% 7.7% 9.2% 7.5% 8.1% 9.3% 7.5% 7.5% 6.6% 3.4%
Mackenzie Needham 5.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.7% 5.3% 5.9% 8.0% 7.9% 9.3% 7.7% 10.3% 9.4% 7.4% 5.2%
Carolyn Smith 11.9% 11.5% 9.7% 8.8% 11.3% 9.1% 8.3% 6.7% 6.2% 6.2% 5.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Madison Gates 5.6% 3.2% 4.6% 5.3% 6.5% 5.4% 6.6% 9.5% 9.8% 8.9% 10.9% 9.7% 8.5% 5.5%
Caitlin Schadt 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 6.1% 5.8% 8.8% 9.1% 11.8% 15.7% 16.8%
Christine Moloney 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 7.0% 7.9% 8.9% 10.2% 11.4% 11.5% 13.1%
Alison Kent 4.0% 4.4% 3.8% 4.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.6% 6.8% 9.4% 9.1% 9.4% 8.8% 11.3% 7.8%
Olivia Godfrey 4.3% 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 5.2% 10.2% 6.9% 8.8% 9.7% 11.0% 10.7% 8.0%
Rachel Day 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 3.7% 4.1% 7.3% 4.2% 7.0% 8.8% 17.8% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.