Race 1A

sperry-women-west-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 13.2% 12.4% 12.1% 12.1% 12.0% 9.1% 10.1% 7.8% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 18.7% 16.4% 15.5% 13.7% 11.6% 8.4% 6.0% 5.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 4.9% 6.4% 6.2% 8.2% 8.8% 10.5% 9.2% 10.5% 14.1% 9.9% 8.5% 2.6% 0.2%
Erika Reineke 16.2% 16.4% 15.9% 12.8% 10.8% 9.8% 8.0% 4.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Erin Mullins 7.5% 7.6% 7.3% 7.9% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 11.4% 11.4% 12.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Lily Katz 12.3% 11.7% 12.4% 11.5% 12.1% 9.5% 9.0% 7.5% 6.1% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Megan Yeigh 7.7% 6.8% 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 10.0% 10.4% 10.4% 12.2% 10.7% 7.8% 2.4% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.6% 6.5% 5.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 13.2% 12.0% 13.9% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9%
Laura Wefer 5.7% 6.8% 7.5% 8.7% 8.4% 8.3% 11.4% 11.3% 10.6% 11.1% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Noel Ingalls 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 5.4% 12.9% 28.6% 41.1%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 2.8% 2.6% 4.6% 13.7% 29.7% 41.7%
Francesca Cappellini 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.8% 3.5% 5.6% 8.9% 25.7% 27.5% 14.5%
Melany Johnson 6.2% 7.4% 8.4% 6.9% 8.9% 11.5% 10.0% 10.2% 11.7% 11.1% 6.2% 0.9% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.