Race 2A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrea Luna 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 9.8% 9.4% 8.1% 9.2% 11.2% 12.1% 12.5% 7.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Morgan Kiss 18.6% 17.2% 15.3% 11.9% 11.8% 7.2% 8.2% 5.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Megan Yeigh 4.8% 5.7% 9.0% 7.8% 6.2% 10.2% 9.8% 11.9% 13.6% 11.3% 7.7% 1.7% 0.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 4.8% 5.6% 5.6% 7.3% 7.6% 9.5% 9.5% 10.5% 12.3% 14.2% 9.1% 3.4% 0.6%
Erika Reineke 18.6% 16.2% 15.7% 11.4% 10.1% 9.7% 6.3% 6.0% 3.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 7.5% 8.1% 7.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.6% 10.1% 10.6% 11.7% 9.7% 5.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Lily Katz 12.5% 11.6% 10.8% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 9.3% 8.2% 6.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Mary Hall 12.6% 13.8% 12.5% 11.0% 12.6% 10.2% 9.7% 7.8% 5.0% 2.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 7.0% 6.2% 5.9% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 12.4% 10.7% 9.5% 12.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.6%
Francesca Cappellini 0.8% 1.8% 2.4% 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 3.6% 6.3% 10.5% 26.1% 24.5% 13.9%
Laura Wefer 6.2% 7.4% 9.1% 7.3% 8.4% 11.2% 9.5% 10.7% 12.5% 8.9% 6.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Noel Ingalls 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 1.9% 2.6% 5.1% 13.6% 31.3% 38.9%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.4% 3.9% 12.8% 29.6% 44.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.