Race 3A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 12.9% 12.2% 12.2% 12.7% 10.3% 11.1% 9.5% 7.2% 6.9% 2.6% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Erin Mullins 6.4% 6.4% 8.8% 6.7% 7.4% 10.9% 12.6% 9.9% 10.0% 12.1% 6.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Morgan Kiss 17.7% 17.4% 14.2% 13.7% 11.6% 9.3% 6.9% 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 5.9% 6.4% 6.0% 8.8% 8.9% 8.4% 9.3% 11.6% 10.8% 12.4% 8.3% 2.9% 0.3%
Laura Wefer 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 9.4% 8.0% 9.6% 10.8% 12.1% 9.6% 7.6% 2.5% 0.1%
Melany Johnson 7.1% 7.0% 8.8% 8.2% 10.8% 10.7% 9.8% 10.3% 10.6% 8.6% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.2% 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 10.4% 11.3% 10.6% 14.2% 9.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Megan Yeigh 5.5% 8.2% 6.0% 8.2% 6.8% 10.2% 9.8% 11.7% 13.4% 10.8% 7.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Lily Katz 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 11.5% 10.8% 10.9% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Erika Reineke 17.7% 16.1% 15.8% 11.5% 11.3% 8.1% 7.3% 5.6% 3.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Francesca Cappellini 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 2.6% 4.2% 5.1% 6.2% 11.9% 26.2% 24.4% 11.0%
Noel Ingalls 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.0% 3.4% 5.1% 12.4% 29.9% 41.6%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 11.5% 30.9% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.