Race 4A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jennifer Borshoff 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 7.3% 8.8% 8.0% 9.3% 10.4% 13.4% 14.6% 8.8% 2.9% 0.6%
Morgan Kiss 19.1% 16.4% 15.4% 12.9% 11.6% 7.8% 7.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 5.0% 7.1% 8.1% 8.5% 6.8% 9.8% 11.1% 11.6% 12.5% 10.3% 7.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Andrea Luna 6.1% 4.8% 7.3% 8.3% 8.6% 9.5% 9.4% 10.2% 11.9% 14.3% 7.2% 1.9% 0.5%
Mary Hall 14.4% 12.6% 13.4% 10.9% 11.6% 9.9% 9.0% 7.9% 5.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 7.1% 8.7% 6.8% 8.8% 9.1% 9.5% 10.9% 11.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Laura Wefer 7.4% 6.8% 8.2% 7.6% 6.6% 9.4% 10.6% 10.6% 13.0% 10.8% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Erika Reineke 16.7% 17.6% 12.8% 12.1% 14.0% 9.3% 7.5% 4.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Katz 11.4% 11.5% 11.3% 11.0% 11.8% 11.3% 9.5% 7.6% 6.1% 5.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Francesca Cappellini 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 5.9% 10.1% 25.7% 26.0% 13.2%
Megan Yeigh 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 8.3% 7.5% 10.7% 9.2% 12.8% 11.2% 9.2% 7.9% 2.2% 0.1%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 4.5% 11.2% 29.6% 45.5%
Noel Ingalls 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 4.3% 14.7% 31.4% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.