Race 6A

sperry-women-west-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Morgan Kiss 18.3% 16.7% 15.4% 12.1% 12.1% 8.7% 6.1% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Katz 10.3% 12.0% 12.6% 10.8% 12.0% 8.6% 11.2% 8.5% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 4.7% 5.5% 7.0% 8.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 11.0% 13.2% 11.7% 7.7% 2.3% 0.2%
Erika Reineke 17.0% 15.3% 13.8% 14.4% 10.2% 10.6% 7.1% 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Megan Yeigh 7.8% 5.3% 6.3% 9.4% 8.0% 9.0% 8.9% 10.9% 12.7% 11.2% 7.6% 2.3% 0.6%
Mary Hall 12.2% 15.4% 13.1% 11.2% 10.9% 9.5% 9.0% 7.6% 5.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 8.3% 8.4% 8.9% 7.2% 7.2% 10.2% 11.7% 11.1% 9.1% 11.2% 4.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Francesca Cappellini 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 2.4% 4.2% 6.7% 10.4% 25.6% 27.3% 11.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.2% 4.9% 6.3% 7.2% 6.5% 9.2% 8.1% 12.0% 13.3% 13.2% 9.8% 3.7% 0.6%
Laura Wefer 7.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.4% 10.2% 9.9% 11.0% 9.5% 9.9% 11.1% 7.5% 3.0% 0.3%
Erin Mullins 6.7% 8.1% 7.2% 7.8% 10.2% 8.5% 11.9% 11.3% 10.4% 9.7% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 2.1% 5.2% 12.4% 26.0% 47.2%
Noel Ingalls 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 3.5% 4.2% 14.0% 31.3% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.