Race 7A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Morgan Kiss 19.0% 16.0% 14.6% 13.8% 11.8% 9.2% 6.1% 4.2% 2.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Erika Reineke 17.2% 16.4% 13.4% 12.6% 12.3% 10.0% 6.5% 5.7% 2.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 5.1% 6.5% 7.7% 8.0% 9.3% 9.7% 11.4% 11.1% 11.2% 10.5% 7.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Lily Katz 11.4% 11.4% 11.8% 12.8% 9.5% 9.9% 10.3% 8.6% 7.3% 5.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Melany Johnson 8.0% 7.3% 7.8% 9.2% 9.5% 9.3% 9.7% 11.2% 11.2% 8.7% 6.3% 1.8% 0.0%
Mary Hall 12.2% 14.3% 13.5% 12.2% 9.8% 10.8% 7.9% 7.5% 7.2% 2.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 6.7% 7.8% 7.8% 6.4% 7.7% 8.5% 9.7% 11.4% 11.7% 12.0% 7.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Erin Mullins 6.3% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 9.9% 8.9% 9.9% 10.5% 12.5% 11.2% 6.1% 2.0% 0.1%
Megan Yeigh 5.6% 6.0% 7.0% 7.3% 7.6% 10.0% 11.7% 10.6% 11.4% 11.6% 8.5% 2.5% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.2% 5.3% 6.9% 5.9% 8.2% 9.1% 10.0% 10.3% 10.4% 13.2% 9.4% 4.2% 0.9%
Francesca Cappellini 1.2% 0.8% 0.9% 2.5% 2.8% 2.0% 4.4% 5.1% 6.7% 11.6% 26.3% 24.4% 11.3%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 5.5% 10.2% 27.9% 47.4%
Noel Ingalls 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 14.0% 32.1% 39.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.