Race 8A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 12.6% 14.3% 11.4% 10.5% 13.4% 10.0% 8.4% 8.1% 6.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 18.3% 16.9% 15.3% 12.1% 12.0% 8.2% 7.8% 4.0% 3.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Megan Yeigh 4.3% 5.8% 9.0% 6.7% 9.1% 10.2% 9.2% 11.6% 11.8% 12.8% 6.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Lily Katz 11.7% 11.9% 11.3% 11.7% 10.0% 9.7% 10.1% 9.1% 7.4% 5.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 6.9% 6.1% 6.9% 9.0% 7.5% 7.9% 10.3% 10.0% 13.5% 11.9% 7.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Laura Wefer 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 8.5% 7.4% 9.6% 11.4% 10.7% 10.3% 11.7% 7.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Erika Reineke 18.0% 16.9% 12.0% 13.1% 12.3% 8.7% 7.2% 5.6% 3.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 9.1% 8.5% 11.4% 8.9% 11.5% 11.7% 10.5% 4.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.7% 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 1.5% 2.4% 4.3% 11.2% 29.0% 44.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.6% 5.2% 7.0% 6.2% 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 10.3% 11.1% 13.5% 9.9% 3.7% 1.0%
Erin Mullins 6.6% 7.3% 8.8% 8.6% 8.4% 9.9% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8% 10.4% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Francesca Cappellini 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 2.8% 0.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.8% 6.4% 8.6% 27.5% 24.6% 14.7%
Noel Ingalls 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 2.0% 2.9% 4.7% 13.9% 32.7% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.