Race 9A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Erika Reineke 17.2% 15.4% 14.2% 13.4% 11.3% 10.2% 7.0% 4.9% 3.7% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Morgan Kiss 18.5% 16.9% 14.6% 12.4% 13.4% 8.8% 5.5% 4.8% 2.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 5.4% 6.6% 7.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.7% 10.3% 11.4% 11.8% 10.8% 6.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Lily Katz 10.9% 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 9.9% 10.6% 8.8% 9.6% 7.4% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Melany Johnson 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 9.2% 8.6% 10.0% 9.6% 11.3% 10.6% 10.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 6.7% 6.5% 6.9% 7.3% 8.7% 10.0% 9.6% 12.0% 10.2% 11.3% 8.0% 2.5% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 7.1% 7.0% 8.0% 6.6% 8.5% 8.8% 10.1% 10.9% 12.1% 10.6% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5%
Laura Wefer 6.1% 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 9.1% 7.9% 11.7% 10.6% 12.5% 11.7% 5.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Mary Hall 12.6% 12.8% 13.6% 11.4% 10.0% 10.8% 10.1% 6.3% 6.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 7.6% 7.4% 8.8% 11.2% 9.7% 10.6% 13.4% 9.3% 4.0% 0.7%
Noel Ingalls 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.2% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 5.0% 15.2% 33.2% 34.4%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 2.5% 5.0% 12.1% 25.2% 48.7%
Francesca Cappellini 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 5.4% 6.2% 9.9% 26.1% 26.3% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.