Race 10A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lily Katz 11.5% 11.8% 11.9% 11.5% 10.7% 10.4% 10.8% 6.9% 7.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Megan Yeigh 5.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.9% 8.1% 8.8% 9.9% 11.6% 12.3% 12.3% 7.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Erin Mullins 5.4% 6.6% 8.4% 9.5% 8.2% 8.9% 8.6% 11.9% 12.7% 11.4% 6.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Morgan Kiss 19.7% 16.5% 14.9% 12.4% 11.4% 8.4% 7.4% 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Erika Reineke 18.4% 16.1% 15.2% 12.6% 11.7% 8.8% 6.1% 4.9% 3.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 10.4% 10.8% 8.9% 10.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.6% 6.2% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 10.5% 10.8% 11.7% 13.2% 9.8% 3.3% 0.4%
Laura Wefer 6.8% 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.0% 10.3% 10.8% 11.5% 11.9% 11.0% 5.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Mary Hall 12.5% 12.2% 12.6% 11.7% 12.5% 11.4% 8.0% 7.0% 6.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Noel Ingalls 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 12.4% 29.2% 41.1%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 4.8% 14.4% 29.4% 41.9%
Francesca Cappellini 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 3.6% 5.2% 4.7% 8.6% 26.0% 27.1% 14.5%
Andrea Luna 4.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.3% 8.8% 8.4% 10.2% 11.3% 12.2% 12.3% 8.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.