Race 12A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lily Katz 11.7% 12.6% 10.4% 11.5% 11.3% 9.4% 11.3% 9.0% 6.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 6.3% 6.4% 6.5% 8.1% 7.1% 9.6% 10.4% 11.6% 10.9% 12.2% 8.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Erin Mullins 5.6% 5.5% 8.9% 9.6% 8.1% 9.3% 10.3% 9.8% 13.6% 10.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 8.5% 8.3% 9.9% 10.7% 10.5% 10.2% 12.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 7.3% 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 8.4% 8.4% 12.1% 12.1% 10.5% 8.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Erika Reineke 17.8% 16.3% 15.4% 10.7% 12.3% 10.6% 6.3% 4.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Morgan Kiss 18.8% 18.2% 13.7% 12.6% 11.6% 7.1% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 4.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.3% 7.6% 9.5% 10.0% 11.5% 11.5% 14.8% 7.2% 4.1% 0.4%
Mary Hall 12.4% 12.2% 12.2% 11.9% 12.3% 11.2% 9.3% 6.7% 5.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Noel Ingalls 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 1.2% 3.0% 2.9% 4.2% 13.2% 32.2% 37.8%
Laura Wefer 7.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.9% 9.9% 10.6% 9.6% 11.7% 9.7% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 4.2% 13.1% 27.3% 46.2%
Francesca Cappellini 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 5.0% 5.8% 10.0% 27.4% 25.5% 14.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.