Race 13A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Erika Reineke 17.1% 15.9% 13.2% 13.3% 11.2% 10.4% 7.1% 5.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Lily Katz 10.8% 12.1% 12.2% 11.6% 11.2% 10.3% 9.3% 9.4% 5.8% 4.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 17.3% 18.1% 14.0% 13.1% 12.8% 9.5% 5.7% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 13.3% 11.8% 11.7% 15.0% 10.1% 9.6% 8.6% 7.7% 6.1% 4.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Melany Johnson 7.9% 7.5% 8.4% 9.6% 9.0% 8.9% 10.7% 10.7% 9.7% 10.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Laura Wefer 6.6% 6.8% 8.8% 7.4% 8.1% 10.1% 10.8% 10.3% 11.2% 11.3% 5.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Erin Mullins 7.5% 7.6% 8.3% 7.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.3% 10.8% 11.5% 9.7% 7.2% 2.2% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 5.4% 7.2% 7.5% 6.9% 7.2% 8.9% 12.3% 10.2% 12.8% 12.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.2% 8.1% 8.3% 9.5% 11.6% 12.9% 12.6% 10.0% 3.6% 0.6%
Megan Yeigh 7.2% 5.7% 7.4% 6.7% 9.7% 10.8% 8.5% 10.7% 11.3% 12.0% 6.1% 3.2% 0.7%
Noel Ingalls 0.6% 0.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 3.6% 6.0% 14.7% 31.5% 35.8%
Francesca Cappellini 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 3.3% 4.5% 5.9% 8.7% 27.1% 27.0% 13.8%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 4.5% 12.6% 25.4% 48.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.