Race 14A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Erika Reineke 17.3% 15.1% 13.9% 13.6% 12.3% 10.0% 5.6% 5.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Melany Johnson 6.1% 6.7% 9.3% 8.6% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 11.9% 11.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Lily Katz 10.1% 12.3% 11.9% 12.3% 8.5% 13.0% 10.8% 7.6% 7.0% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Hall 13.2% 12.0% 13.4% 13.0% 11.7% 8.3% 9.0% 8.1% 5.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Morgan Kiss 19.3% 18.1% 14.9% 11.5% 11.2% 8.9% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 6.2% 6.1% 8.2% 6.6% 9.0% 9.0% 11.7% 10.0% 12.2% 11.4% 5.9% 3.4% 0.3%
Megan Yeigh 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 8.3% 8.1% 10.1% 12.5% 10.5% 10.9% 8.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Erin Mullins 6.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.2% 7.4% 11.4% 9.9% 11.3% 12.1% 12.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Laura Wefer 6.6% 6.6% 6.0% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 11.0% 12.0% 10.9% 11.4% 7.9% 1.7% 0.6%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.0% 5.3% 5.2% 8.1% 8.6% 9.4% 8.3% 9.9% 12.2% 12.6% 9.8% 3.5% 1.1%
Noel Ingalls 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 5.8% 15.3% 31.8% 35.5%
Francesca Cappellini 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 3.8% 4.6% 5.3% 8.5% 27.3% 27.1% 13.7%
Jasmine Gerraty 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 5.3% 11.8% 26.5% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.