Race 1B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sarah Streater 4.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.5% 7.6% 9.4% 10.2% 12.6% 12.2% 8.8% 5.5% 1.4%
Casey Klingler 14.0% 13.6% 14.1% 13.7% 10.8% 10.1% 8.6% 5.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Allyson Donahue 19.6% 18.3% 14.5% 12.9% 11.0% 9.5% 6.6% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Maeve White 12.7% 13.0% 12.6% 11.1% 11.6% 11.0% 9.1% 8.3% 4.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Amina Brown 14.0% 13.3% 12.9% 13.1% 10.3% 9.6% 9.3% 7.4% 5.4% 3.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Kate Klement 7.2% 7.3% 8.3% 8.4% 8.8% 10.1% 11.4% 11.1% 10.4% 7.8% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6%
Courtney Koos 10.7% 7.9% 9.9% 10.2% 10.7% 10.7% 9.5% 9.4% 8.8% 7.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Quinn Howes 4.6% 6.4% 4.7% 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% 10.6% 10.6% 12.2% 12.2% 9.4% 5.6% 1.3%
Francesca Dana 0.9% 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 1.8% 2.8% 4.7% 5.2% 8.1% 15.6% 25.0% 27.4%
Anna Huebschmann 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.5% 5.9% 5.2% 6.5% 9.1% 10.5% 15.0% 15.2% 12.8% 5.7%
Elsa Balton 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 5.3% 5.3% 11.8% 22.1% 44.9%
Ryan Murphy 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.6% 6.2% 6.2% 11.1% 19.1% 21.7% 17.7%
Hannah Hughes 6.2% 6.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 10.6% 9.5% 10.8% 11.3% 9.6% 6.4% 2.4% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.