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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.50+7.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+2.49vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.97+4.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96-0.41vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+3.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32-0.73vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-4.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.57vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.03-2.88vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-5.42vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.06-0.50vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.59-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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4.49Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.88Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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3.75Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.12Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.58Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.5Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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10.66Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Huebschmann | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 4.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Maeve White | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Murphy | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 14.8% |
| Kate Klement | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 19.4% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 50.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.