Race 3B

sperry-women-west-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Allyson Donahue 19.2% 18.1% 14.7% 12.8% 11.4% 9.4% 6.3% 3.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Casey Klingler 13.3% 15.1% 13.4% 13.0% 12.8% 9.9% 5.9% 8.2% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Amina Brown 12.3% 13.4% 13.9% 11.1% 9.5% 11.3% 10.9% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Maeve White 12.8% 12.4% 12.4% 11.5% 11.4% 9.6% 10.3% 8.8% 5.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Hannah Hughes 7.9% 7.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.3% 8.5% 10.8% 9.7% 12.6% 7.6% 5.4% 3.2% 0.5%
Courtney Koos 9.0% 9.1% 10.6% 10.2% 10.7% 9.9% 12.0% 7.7% 8.7% 6.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Sarah Streater 7.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.3% 6.6% 8.3% 8.5% 11.4% 11.7% 12.7% 9.2% 4.4% 1.4%
Anna Huebschmann 2.9% 4.8% 3.0% 3.5% 4.9% 5.2% 7.7% 9.5% 11.8% 14.1% 15.3% 13.3% 4.0%
Francesca Dana 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 3.4% 3.2% 2.8% 4.7% 10.4% 14.7% 26.7% 25.3%
Quinn Howes 6.2% 5.3% 4.6% 6.6% 6.8% 10.1% 9.4% 9.7% 11.4% 11.4% 10.7% 5.7% 2.1%
Ryan Murphy 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 3.8% 4.4% 3.9% 6.0% 9.4% 11.2% 18.8% 21.1% 14.1%
Kate Klement 6.6% 6.0% 7.4% 9.9% 8.7% 8.9% 9.6% 12.0% 9.8% 10.8% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Elsa Balton 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 2.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 5.2% 10.9% 20.1% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.