Race 4B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Courtney Koos 9.7% 8.6% 8.9% 10.3% 9.9% 10.4% 10.7% 10.4% 8.6% 6.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Allyson Donahue 18.5% 19.4% 15.3% 12.9% 11.5% 8.5% 5.9% 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Casey Klingler 12.9% 14.7% 13.8% 11.6% 11.2% 12.7% 9.1% 6.2% 4.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Maeve White 12.8% 12.6% 13.1% 11.5% 11.1% 10.4% 9.4% 8.9% 4.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.2%
Kate Klement 7.5% 7.7% 7.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.2% 10.4% 10.0% 11.4% 7.6% 5.0% 3.7% 0.5%
Anna Huebschmann 3.3% 3.0% 4.4% 3.8% 4.6% 7.5% 6.1% 8.9% 11.8% 15.3% 13.8% 12.7% 4.8%
Quinn Howes 6.5% 4.5% 6.0% 8.1% 6.4% 7.4% 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 11.5% 10.3% 5.5% 1.6%
Sarah Streater 5.1% 6.5% 4.6% 6.5% 8.8% 7.7% 10.2% 11.0% 12.9% 11.3% 9.6% 4.7% 1.1%
Ryan Murphy 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 3.4% 5.0% 6.5% 12.4% 17.4% 23.4% 16.6%
Amina Brown 14.4% 12.7% 14.0% 11.6% 10.4% 8.3% 9.2% 7.9% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Francesca Dana 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 3.7% 3.1% 5.7% 5.8% 9.9% 17.3% 26.1% 21.3%
Hannah Hughes 6.2% 6.3% 8.1% 9.1% 10.1% 8.7% 10.2% 10.0% 11.3% 10.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Elsa Balton 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 3.2% 5.3% 11.3% 18.3% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.