Race 5B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Allyson Donahue 19.8% 16.8% 14.4% 14.6% 10.6% 8.7% 6.4% 4.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Maeve White 12.7% 11.8% 12.5% 13.8% 11.5% 9.0% 9.9% 7.2% 6.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Amina Brown 11.5% 15.1% 13.0% 11.2% 12.4% 10.9% 8.1% 7.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Quinn Howes 4.6% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 7.7% 9.2% 8.5% 10.7% 10.5% 14.5% 10.1% 5.7% 1.4%
Casey Klingler 14.9% 16.0% 13.4% 10.9% 9.8% 10.9% 9.3% 6.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Francesca Dana 0.8% 1.0% 2.3% 1.7% 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 3.6% 5.9% 9.8% 17.6% 25.2% 23.6%
Courtney Koos 10.8% 9.1% 10.1% 8.5% 9.8% 11.5% 10.0% 10.3% 8.4% 6.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Hannah Hughes 7.3% 8.5% 7.2% 7.6% 9.4% 11.7% 10.4% 10.1% 11.9% 7.8% 5.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Kate Klement 7.8% 5.9% 7.0% 10.1% 8.9% 8.5% 11.3% 10.3% 10.8% 9.6% 5.7% 3.5% 0.6%
Anna Huebschmann 3.2% 3.3% 4.2% 3.8% 5.2% 4.6% 7.7% 8.7% 11.1% 14.3% 15.5% 13.2% 5.2%
Sarah Streater 4.8% 5.2% 7.6% 7.6% 8.1% 7.6% 10.1% 12.7% 12.0% 10.3% 8.6% 4.4% 1.0%
Ryan Murphy 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 4.6% 5.7% 6.5% 12.2% 17.3% 22.9% 17.8%
Elsa Balton 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.0% 2.9% 3.3% 5.8% 11.2% 20.7% 49.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.