Race 6B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Quinn Howes 4.4% 4.9% 5.3% 6.3% 8.8% 8.2% 9.2% 10.8% 12.7% 13.2% 10.3% 4.5% 1.4%
Casey Klingler 14.3% 12.8% 14.9% 13.2% 10.9% 10.8% 7.3% 6.6% 5.1% 2.5% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Amina Brown 11.7% 14.1% 13.0% 12.4% 10.9% 12.5% 8.5% 6.6% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 4.2% 7.5% 6.0% 8.4% 12.9% 14.6% 15.7% 12.1% 4.9%
Maeve White 12.7% 13.0% 12.9% 10.8% 11.6% 10.3% 9.5% 9.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Courtney Koos 9.9% 9.0% 8.8% 11.5% 9.3% 11.1% 11.5% 8.4% 7.9% 6.9% 4.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Kate Klement 8.0% 7.7% 8.3% 7.0% 10.3% 8.6% 10.2% 12.0% 9.4% 10.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Ryan Murphy 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.3% 2.1% 3.1% 4.4% 5.9% 8.0% 10.4% 18.5% 25.6% 13.1%
Hannah Hughes 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.4% 10.3% 11.4% 11.0% 9.9% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9%
Sarah Streater 6.2% 5.3% 5.5% 7.4% 8.4% 7.3% 11.1% 9.5% 11.5% 11.8% 8.9% 5.3% 1.8%
Allyson Donahue 20.0% 19.5% 15.6% 13.5% 11.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Francesca Dana 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 6.5% 9.3% 14.3% 25.9% 26.4%
Elsa Balton 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 5.8% 11.3% 19.3% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.