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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+2.77vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.12+2.89vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.97+2.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05-1.64vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56-1.42vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.03-0.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.63vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.59+0.50vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50-2.70vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-1.93vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.06-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.36Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
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5.58Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.08Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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10.5Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.3Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.07Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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11.52Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 15.4% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 26.4% | 24.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Murphy | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 17.7% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 21.1% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.