Race 8B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Quinn Howes 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 7.9% 6.7% 7.1% 8.6% 12.7% 11.0% 11.9% 10.9% 5.6% 1.6%
Courtney Koos 8.7% 8.4% 10.7% 9.3% 11.0% 11.5% 9.7% 9.5% 9.7% 6.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Amina Brown 12.8% 13.3% 12.8% 10.9% 12.5% 11.0% 9.8% 7.2% 5.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Maeve White 12.9% 12.9% 13.4% 10.9% 11.0% 12.0% 8.8% 7.2% 5.2% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Allyson Donahue 21.5% 17.9% 14.9% 13.0% 11.4% 7.6% 6.1% 3.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Casey Klingler 14.3% 15.3% 14.0% 12.5% 11.2% 9.9% 8.5% 5.8% 4.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 3.7% 3.5% 4.1% 5.2% 5.4% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 10.3% 13.8% 17.1% 12.9% 3.9%
Hannah Hughes 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 8.7% 9.0% 10.0% 10.4% 12.4% 9.4% 9.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Francesca Dana 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 9.6% 15.3% 25.6% 25.7%
Kate Klement 6.1% 5.6% 6.9% 8.1% 9.0% 9.5% 10.3% 9.2% 11.9% 9.5% 7.9% 5.2% 0.8%
Ryan Murphy 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.2% 2.9% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 9.0% 11.5% 18.6% 20.8% 14.4%
Elsa Balton 0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 3.4% 6.0% 8.2% 20.6% 50.7%
Sarah Streater 4.6% 5.5% 5.3% 7.2% 6.5% 8.8% 10.4% 11.4% 12.3% 12.7% 9.1% 4.7% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.