Race 9B

sperry-women-west-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Allyson Donahue 20.8% 18.2% 16.8% 13.0% 8.8% 9.0% 6.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Courtney Koos 8.6% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% 12.4% 11.8% 8.9% 9.7% 7.7% 6.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Amina Brown 13.2% 13.8% 14.4% 12.5% 11.3% 10.2% 9.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Casey Klingler 15.7% 14.4% 14.0% 12.8% 12.5% 8.5% 9.6% 5.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 3.9% 3.6% 3.3% 5.8% 5.7% 6.3% 8.9% 9.0% 11.5% 13.9% 13.9% 9.2% 5.0%
Leslie Poole 2.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.5% 6.3% 7.7% 9.7% 10.1% 14.0% 15.6% 13.3% 5.6%
Julia Lambert 14.5% 12.9% 12.6% 11.6% 13.2% 9.8% 8.4% 8.2% 4.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 5.2% 6.7% 6.2% 6.0% 7.6% 7.7% 10.3% 12.7% 11.6% 12.1% 9.1% 4.0% 0.8%
Sarah Streater 5.5% 5.7% 5.5% 7.6% 7.6% 11.0% 9.8% 10.9% 11.4% 10.7% 8.8% 4.3% 1.2%
Francesca Dana 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 7.7% 9.1% 14.8% 25.9% 23.3%
Ryan Murphy 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 7.7% 11.1% 12.6% 16.4% 17.7% 14.4%
Hannah Hughes 7.1% 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 9.0% 10.3% 11.0% 10.2% 10.4% 7.5% 5.3% 2.8% 0.5%
Elsa Balton 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 2.7% 3.5% 6.3% 10.6% 19.9% 48.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.