Race 10B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Allyson Donahue 21.0% 17.4% 15.8% 12.3% 12.3% 7.7% 7.0% 3.3% 1.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Amina Brown 13.5% 13.7% 13.8% 12.7% 12.3% 10.5% 9.0% 6.4% 3.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Casey Klingler 15.0% 15.3% 12.8% 12.6% 12.4% 9.9% 9.9% 6.3% 3.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Courtney Koos 9.0% 9.8% 9.4% 12.6% 9.7% 11.6% 9.6% 11.5% 7.0% 4.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Hannah Hughes 8.6% 7.8% 7.9% 10.4% 9.7% 10.3% 10.3% 9.2% 11.4% 7.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Julia Lambert 12.6% 13.6% 14.0% 11.8% 12.7% 9.4% 9.2% 7.4% 4.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Quinn Howes 6.5% 4.8% 7.6% 7.3% 6.3% 8.1% 11.1% 11.1% 11.6% 12.3% 8.3% 4.1% 0.9%
Sarah Streater 5.5% 6.6% 5.8% 7.1% 7.2% 11.1% 10.1% 11.7% 12.3% 10.0% 7.6% 4.5% 0.5%
Francesca Dana 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 3.0% 3.2% 3.6% 3.7% 6.9% 8.6% 15.7% 25.3% 23.5%
Leslie Poole 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 10.6% 11.7% 13.9% 14.8% 12.7% 6.9%
Ryan Murphy 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 5.2% 6.5% 9.7% 12.8% 16.7% 19.1% 13.5%
Anna Huebschmann 2.6% 2.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.3% 5.4% 7.3% 9.5% 12.3% 15.0% 14.0% 11.8% 4.9%
Elsa Balton 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 4.7% 5.7% 11.3% 18.7% 48.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.