Race 11B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Amina Brown 14.3% 12.7% 14.0% 11.8% 11.9% 11.4% 8.3% 7.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Allyson Donahue 20.0% 19.5% 15.2% 13.6% 11.6% 8.1% 4.5% 3.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Casey Klingler 14.7% 14.3% 14.2% 13.1% 11.8% 11.4% 9.3% 5.3% 2.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Julia Lambert 12.4% 13.7% 12.8% 14.1% 10.2% 10.2% 10.1% 7.0% 5.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Courtney Koos 9.9% 9.6% 10.9% 11.1% 9.7% 12.5% 9.5% 9.2% 8.8% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Quinn Howes 5.9% 4.6% 6.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.3% 10.9% 12.1% 12.2% 10.2% 8.6% 4.6% 0.9%
Hannah Hughes 8.4% 8.3% 9.2% 7.7% 9.2% 10.8% 11.0% 11.5% 9.1% 7.6% 4.9% 2.0% 0.3%
Anna Huebschmann 3.2% 4.9% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 6.2% 7.3% 10.8% 11.0% 15.3% 13.0% 11.3% 3.7%
Sarah Streater 5.2% 6.0% 5.8% 7.4% 8.5% 8.9% 10.4% 12.1% 10.8% 11.9% 7.2% 4.6% 1.2%
Leslie Poole 2.9% 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 7.6% 8.6% 11.5% 13.4% 16.5% 12.7% 6.4%
Francesca Dana 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 4.4% 8.5% 10.4% 16.9% 23.0% 21.2%
Ryan Murphy 1.4% 1.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 5.5% 5.7% 9.0% 10.4% 16.8% 21.1% 16.7%
Elsa Balton 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 4.5% 6.9% 10.2% 19.0% 49.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.