Race 12B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Amina Brown 14.4% 13.7% 13.6% 13.0% 11.8% 10.4% 8.0% 6.9% 4.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Allyson Donahue 20.4% 17.9% 16.9% 13.2% 9.6% 8.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Lambert 12.3% 12.3% 13.3% 12.7% 13.1% 10.4% 9.6% 6.5% 5.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 5.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.7% 8.7% 8.7% 9.3% 12.3% 12.1% 10.5% 8.4% 5.6% 0.8%
Casey Klingler 16.3% 15.4% 13.8% 12.5% 10.6% 9.9% 9.0% 5.7% 3.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Hannah Hughes 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 10.6% 8.9% 10.9% 10.8% 11.5% 8.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Courtney Koos 10.0% 10.1% 10.9% 9.0% 10.4% 11.7% 11.0% 10.2% 7.8% 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Francesca Dana 0.9% 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 3.0% 2.8% 5.0% 6.8% 9.1% 16.2% 25.9% 22.2%
Anna Huebschmann 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 5.7% 7.3% 9.1% 12.1% 14.4% 14.6% 10.7% 5.2%
Sarah Streater 5.8% 6.1% 6.3% 6.5% 8.9% 10.0% 10.7% 11.8% 11.1% 8.9% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7%
Ryan Murphy 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 5.5% 6.0% 10.0% 14.9% 16.8% 17.3% 13.3%
Elsa Balton 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 4.7% 6.4% 10.2% 17.8% 49.5%
Leslie Poole 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 3.9% 5.2% 4.3% 7.7% 8.4% 11.9% 14.8% 14.9% 14.2% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.