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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+3.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+1.78vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.03+4.19vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+0.73vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+3.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.25vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97+0.20vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-3.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-3.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.32-3.69vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University0.59-0.57vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-1.92vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.06-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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3.78Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.4Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.79Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.31Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.43Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.08Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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11.54Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 19.8% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Amina Brown | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Kate Klement | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 26.1% | 22.4% |
| Ryan Murphy | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 26.1% | 16.5% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 20.0% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.