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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+8.54vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.44+4.55vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.81+2.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.73vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.89-2.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.31-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.90-1.08vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53+0.84vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.66-1.39vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-2.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.54+2.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.28vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-3.42vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.07-6.62vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.87-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54California Poly Maritime Academy0.533.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Washington1.446.7%1st Place
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5.49Western Washington University1.8110.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Berkeley0.985.9%1st Place
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2.74Stanford University2.8933.9%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.3510.3%1st Place
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6.94University of Hawaii1.316.7%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Southern California0.905.3%1st Place
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10.84San Diego State University0.532.1%1st Place
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9.61Arizona State University0.663.3%1st Place
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10.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.0%1st Place
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11.41University of California at San Diego0.031.9%1st Place
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16.01California State University Channel Islands-1.540.2%1st Place
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14.72University of California at Irvine-0.360.5%1st Place
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12.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.4%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Davis0.071.8%1st Place
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14.52University of California at San Diego-0.870.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Danny Juan | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 33.9% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Brent Lin | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 46.9% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 21.2% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 22.6% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.