Race 14B

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Allyson Donahue 20.0% 18.0% 13.2% 13.7% 11.9% 8.4% 6.1% 3.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Amina Brown 12.6% 13.3% 13.4% 12.6% 10.8% 10.0% 9.3% 7.7% 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Courtney Koos 6.7% 10.4% 10.5% 10.2% 9.4% 10.5% 11.0% 9.6% 9.8% 6.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Julia Lambert 12.4% 13.1% 10.6% 12.0% 11.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 5.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Kate Klement 8.3% 6.6% 9.5% 8.1% 8.3% 8.7% 10.4% 12.0% 10.9% 8.0% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Quinn Howes 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.4% 8.3% 8.9% 10.2% 12.9% 11.2% 11.2% 5.3% 1.3%
Hannah Hughes 8.5% 7.8% 8.9% 6.9% 7.5% 10.8% 10.1% 10.0% 11.6% 9.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.4%
Casey Klingler 13.9% 15.1% 12.1% 12.4% 13.7% 10.3% 9.1% 6.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Francesca Dana 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 1.7% 2.8% 3.0% 2.6% 2.9% 5.7% 8.9% 16.1% 26.3% 25.3%
Sarah Streater 6.5% 4.7% 5.8% 7.4% 6.4% 9.9% 10.0% 10.8% 10.4% 12.4% 9.6% 4.2% 1.9%
Anna Huebschmann 2.8% 2.7% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 5.9% 6.7% 8.6% 13.0% 15.3% 13.7% 10.8% 4.9%
Ryan Murphy 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 4.3% 6.4% 5.6% 10.4% 18.9% 24.0% 16.8%
Elsa Balton 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 0.7% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 6.1% 10.5% 22.6% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.