← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.28+9.04vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.83+5.66vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+8.10vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.87vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.14vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.63+2.29vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.85+4.57vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College3.06+2.65vs Predicted
-
9Boston College4.01-2.37vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.84-2.31vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.99+0.17vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.71-3.63vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.90-1.72vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.97-3.18vs Predicted
-
15Yale University4.10-8.62vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.38-2.53vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.38-7.40vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College3.14-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.04Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
-
7.66Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
11.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
-
7.87U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.29Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.57Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
10.65Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
-
6.63Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.69University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
11.17University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
8.37College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
11.28University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.82Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
6.38Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
13.47George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.6Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.26Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Lily Katz | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| India Johnstone | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 25.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.