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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+8.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.10vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+6.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63+3.33vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+1.96vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-0.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+1.77vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14+0.73vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90+0.52vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-0.54vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.10-6.68vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.05vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.83-7.59vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-4.34vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.98vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.38-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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6.84Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.33Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.73Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.52University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.46Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.66Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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13.22George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% |
| Lily Katz | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| India Johnstone | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.