← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.10+5.68vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.84+5.70vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.99+8.39vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.01+2.69vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.71+3.01vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.28+3.91vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College3.14+3.42vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.85+3.58vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.18vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.63-1.40vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.61vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.38-2.18vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.97-1.92vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.90-2.85vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.83-7.55vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College3.06-5.09vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.86vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University2.67-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.68Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.7University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
11.39University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
6.69Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.01College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.91Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
-
10.42Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
-
11.58Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
7.82U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.6Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
9.82Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
-
11.08Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
11.15University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.45Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
10.91Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
-
11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
-
12.25George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
| Mary Hall | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lily Katz | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.