← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.38+8.64vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.28+8.18vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.71+5.25vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College3.14+6.35vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.26vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.97+5.19vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.83+0.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.99+3.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.84-1.60vs Predicted
-
10Yale University4.10-3.30vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.95vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.06-0.83vs Predicted
-
13Boston College4.01-6.29vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.90-2.86vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.05vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.85-4.19vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.67-4.44vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University3.63-9.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.64Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.18Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
-
8.25College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.35Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
-
8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
11.19Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
7.5Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
11.01University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
7.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
6.7Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
8.05U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.17Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
-
6.71Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
11.14University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
-
11.81Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
12.56George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
8.14Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 19.2% |
| Lily Katz | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.