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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+9.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+5.69vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+7.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+2.36vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+8.23vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.87vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-0.62vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+2.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-0.32vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-2.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-0.64vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-2.02vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-2.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.84vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-5.13vs Predicted
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173.63-8.57vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.74-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.7Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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6.36Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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13.23George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.64Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.68Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.87Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.433.630.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| India Johnstone | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 25.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% |
| Lily Katz | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.