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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+7.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+6.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.13vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.29vs Predicted
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63.63+2.26vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+6.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+2.89vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-2.75vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90+1.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-4.28vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.35vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-2.41vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.28-6.21vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.06-6.19vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.14-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.263.630.1%1st Place
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13.29George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.25Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.59University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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11.18Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.79Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lily Katz | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| India Johnstone | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 23.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Mary Hall | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.