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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+9.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+4.59vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+5.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+6.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+1.74vs Predicted
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63.63+2.29vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+2.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.85vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.28-1.02vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-0.04vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-2.37vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-3.29vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-3.91vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.75vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-3.52vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.63Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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6.59Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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6.74Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.293.630.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.41University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.98Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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11.96Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.09Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.48George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Lily Katz | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| India Johnstone | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 25.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.