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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+5.63vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+8.74vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+8.01vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+3.92vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+6.00vs Predicted
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63.63+2.33vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83+0.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.76vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+2.64vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-3.03vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-1.45vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.38+1.70vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.90-1.82vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-6.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.82vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-4.88vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-7.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.74-10.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.74Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.01Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.333.630.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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11.64Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.97Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.7George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.18University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.95Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Lily Katz | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| India Johnstone | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 28.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.