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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+9.92vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+9.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+3.61vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+5.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+1.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+2.35vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-0.58vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+2.11vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.71-1.77vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-0.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.03vs Predicted
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153.63-6.72vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.28-6.10vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-3.46vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.92Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.9Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.11Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.55Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.283.630.1%1st Place
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9.9Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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13.54George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
| Mary Hall | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lily Katz | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| India Johnstone | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 27.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.