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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+10.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+4.58vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+8.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+5.24vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+5.33vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+1.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71+0.95vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28+1.71vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.96vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-1.42vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97+0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-0.60vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-6.34vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.38-0.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.18vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.90-4.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-9.41vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.76Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.58Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.03Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.33Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.95College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.71Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.25Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.66Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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13.1George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.5University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Lily Katz | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| India Johnstone | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 24.8% |
| Mary Hall | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.